Older AFCE

Wernicke Korsakoff

November 8, 2014

AFC North Saturday Brews

Wernicke Korsakoff class="post-date-wrap left relative post-date-mob">

November 8, 2014

Is Your QB Clutch, or a Choker?

With credit due to our friends at FiveThirtyEight, here are graphs for select quarterbacks, charting expected win percentage against actual win percentage. Matt Stafford and his Lions lose games they are expected to win, while Tony Romo’s Cowboys win games they’re expected to lose. How does your QB compare? Is it fair to pin the entire win or loss on the QB so generically?

More in Older AFCE

The Josh Allen Report: Week 4

Brian GrothOctober 6, 2020

Ranking the AFCE Offenses

Archer AllenMay 12, 2020

Slick’s 2019 Week 15 Overreactions

Brian GrothDecember 18, 2019

The Josh Allen Report

Brian GrothDecember 16, 2019

Tank it, to the Limit

finfan5357December 13, 2019

Not Much to be Tankful For

Chris ChambersDecember 6, 2019

Best of PFF.com: Five articles to read today January 15, 2021
In the lead-up to the NFL's divisional round, PFF offers some takeaways from Friday.
Favorite NFL futures bets ahead of the NFL divisional round January 15, 2021
Breaking down the AFC and NFC playoff pictures ahead of the NFL divisional round to find value for conference championship and Super Bowl LV futures bets.
NFL Betting: Best bets on first half, team total and other betting markets for NFL Divisional Round January 15, 2021
PFF's Ben Brown takes to the derivative markets to identify the best bets to make for the 2020 NFL Divisional Round.
NFL Divisional Round: Examining the trench matchups for every divisional-round game January 15, 2021
Highlighting the best and worst trench matchups ahead of NFL Super Wild Card Weekend.
Fantasy Football: DFS tournament picks for the NFL divisional round January 15, 2021
Paying down for New Orleans Saints wide receivers Emmanuel Sanders and Deonte Harris is one option to differentiate your DFS rosters for the divisional round.
Sharpe’s Take: Best NFL bets to make ahead of the NFL divisional round January 15, 2021
Identifying the best NFL bets to make ahead of the NFL's divisional round.
DraftKings Showdown: Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Divisional Round January 15, 2021
Breaking down the DFS strategies and approaches to playing the DraftKings Showdown slate for the Buffalo Bills-Baltimore Ravens divisional-round matchup.
Hartitz: 10 Divisional Round DFS Thoughts January 15, 2021
PFF's Ian Hartitz offers up his top 10 thoughts on the DFS Saturday-Sunday slate for the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs.
DraftKings Showdown: Green Bay Packers vs. Los Angeles Rams NFL Divisional Round January 15, 2021
Breaking down the DFS strategies and approaches to playing the DraftKings Showdown slate for the Green Bay Packers-Los Angeles Rams divisional-round matchup.
Erickson: NFL Divisional Round Saturday DFS Primer January 15, 2021
PFF's Andrew Erickson offers up his favorite DFS plays and game stacks for the Saturday slate of the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs.
NFL Divisional Round Injury Report: Updates on Mike Evans, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Cooper Kupp and more January 15, 2021
PFF injury analyst Mario Pilato combs through the official injury reports for each divisional-round game and gives updates and analysis for fantasy-relevant players.
Jacksonville Jaguars hire Urban Meyer as their next head coach January 15, 2021
Urban Meyer has a history of being a successful head coach, but questions remain about his ability to steer the ship in NFL waters.
Fantasy Football: Projecting 2020’s top rookie defensive linemen for 2021 and beyond in IDP dynasty leagues January 14, 2021
Washington Football Team edge defender Chase Young unsurprisingly takes the top spot among rookie defensive linemen when projecting for the future in IDP dynasty fantasy football leagues.
Best NFL Divisional Round game stacks and potential blowup performances for DFS January 14, 2021
A look into every game on the divisional-round slate from a DFS game-stack perspective in addition to a deep dive on the wide receivers and tight ends who could have blowup performances.
Six examples of historically elite 2020 performances from remaining playoff teams January 14, 2021
PFF's Ian Hartitz pays homage to six positional groups and players who put forward truly historic efforts during the 2020 NFL season.
Fantasy Football: NFL Divisional Round DFS locks and fades January 14, 2021
PFF's Andrew Erickson offers up DFS locks and fades at every position for the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs.
Jahnke: Divisional Round Fantasy Football Rankings January 14, 2021
Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson has big-game potential this week against the Buffalo Bills, according to Nathan Jahnke's divisional round fantasy football rankings.
Cole: Doug Pederson won a Super Bowl, but it’s hard to know if he’s a great coach January 13, 2021
Doug Pederson and his winning pedigree will undoubtedly attract the market's attention, but the question of whether we should be confident in him as a top candidate is another question entirely.
Understanding Rookie Quarterbacks with Clustering and Bayesian Forecasting: Justin Herbert had one of the best rookie seasons ever January 13, 2021
PFF data scientist Timo Riske uses Clustering and Bayesian Forecasting to put the rookie seasons of Justin Herbert, Joe Burrow, Tua Tagovailoa and Jalen Hurts into historical context.
Monson: It’s time for the San Francisco 49ers to move on from QB Jimmy Garoppolo January 13, 2021
Jimmy Garoppolo hasn’t become the player the San Francisco 49ers thought he would be, and while much of that is bad luck due to injuries, it would still be remiss if the team didn’t start trying to upgrade at the position.

Silencing critics: Ravens' Lamar Jackson has MVP award, could Bills' Josh Allen be next? January 16, 2021
Once considered the projects of the 2018 NFL draft, the QBs who face off on Saturday are now the Pro Bowl quarterbacks of that class.
NFL playoffs divisional-round guide: Picks, bold predictions and more for every game January 16, 2021
What to watch for in every game. Bold predictions. Key stats to know. And, of course, score predictions.
WR Watkins remains out as Chiefs open playoffs January 16, 2021
Chiefs wide receiver Sammy Watkins remains sidelined by a calf injury and will not play in Sunday's divisional round game against the Browns. Leading rusher Clyde Edwards-Helaire is listed as questionable because of hip and ankle injuries.
Texans CEO: Want Watson part of hiring process January 16, 2021
Texans CEO Cal McNair said he wants to keep Deshaun Watson as part of the hiring process for the team's next coach after the QB reportedly was not happy about how they went about their GM search.
Health in mind, Meyer won't be 'nut' at practice January 16, 2021
Urban Meyer is older and wiser, which he says should help keep him healthier as tries to turn around one of the NFL's worst franchises.
DE Edwards suspended for first 2 games of '21 January 16, 2021
Bears DE Mario Edwards Jr., who is no longer under contract and will be a free agent in March, has been suspended without pay for the first two games of the 2021 regular season for violating the NFL's policy on performance-enhancing substances.
Broncos LB Miller subject of police investigation January 16, 2021
Police in the southeast suburb of Denver confirmed Friday that Miller is under investigation, saying that "if the investigation determines a crime has occurred charges will be submitted to the DA's office for their review."
WR Josh Gordon suspended indefinitely again January 16, 2021
Josh Gordon has been suspended indefinitely again after the NFL rescinded his conditional reinstatement.
Smith reaches deal to become Falcons' coach January 16, 2021
Arthur Smith, who has served as the offensive coordinator for the Tennessee Titans the past two seasons, has agreed to terms with the Falcons to be the team's new head coach.
Arthur Smith brings optimism, but the Falcons will need patient approach January 16, 2021
Smith brings impressive credentials to Atlanta, but with several key veterans facing uncertain futures, a quick turnaround could be a challenge.
Best buds Sean McVay, Matt LaFleur to lock horns when Rams battle Packers January 15, 2021
McVay and LaFleur ascended the coaching ladder together and will finally face each other as head coaches with an NFC title game trip on the line.
Tom Brady's Tampa Bay timeline: Events that defined his first season with the Buccaneers January 15, 2021
It has been a season of change for Brady, but he's back to a familiar spot: contending for titles. Here's how it all unfolded.
Scottish accents, pranks and humor: Unflappable Kevin Stefanski perfect fit for Browns January 15, 2021
The embodiment of grace under pressure, the Browns coach remained cool even when his team faced myriad injuries and COVID-19 .
Latest round in Drew Brees-Tom Brady rivalry will be the most consequential January 15, 2021
It's a playoff matchup four decades in the making. How have Brees' and Brady's games evolved, and what are opponents seeing in each QB?
The legend of Baker Mayfield and Patrick Mahomes' 2016 epic January 15, 2021
In 2016, the two future NFL stars led their teams to a record-shattering 1,708 total yards in Oklahoma's 66-59 win over Texas Tech, a quarterbacking classic that their coaches say might never be duplicated.
The game-changing move that helped each NFL playoff team get here January 15, 2021
Adding the GOAT, reigniting a star QB, running it back for the champs. NFL Nation reporters identify the most influential change their teams made that elevated their seasons.
Eagles' coaching search has a whiz kids flare, from Jerod Mayo to Joe Brady January 15, 2021
Philadelphia owner Jeffrey Lurie's thirst for fresh ideas and innovation, particularly on offense, has generated a pool of mostly 30-somethings.
NFL divisional-round betting nuggets January 15, 2021
Here are notes on each of the four NFL playoff games this weekend to help you with any potential bets.
2020 NFL season in review: How the season finished, what's next for eliminated teams January 15, 2021
What's next for these teams in 2021?
Lions ownership gets the process right in hiring Brad Holmes as general manager January 15, 2021
With Sheila Ford Hamp in the mix, the Lions' exhaustive GM search has them feeling like they got their man in Holmes.

Will Taysom Hill be available on Sunday? January 16, 2021
Officially, Saints quarterback Taysom Hill is questionable for Sunday night’s game against the Buccaneers. Unofficially, there’s a concern that Hill won’t be able to play with a knee injury. Per a league source, some of Hill’s teammates privately are saying that Hill won’t play. Hill was a limited participant in practice on Friday after missing […]
Washington interviewing Eric Stokes for G.M. job January 16, 2021
The Washington Football Team is interviewing an internal candidate for the General Manager job. Eric Stokes, who is in his first year with the team, has a chance to earn a promotion. Jason La Canfora of CBS Sports reports that Stokes will get an interview for the vacancy. Stokes currently serves as the team’s director […]
Bruce Arians plans no extra “risk it” on Sunday January 16, 2021
Buccaneers coach Bruce Arians likes to say, “No risk it, no biscuit.” On Sunday, when he tries to beat the Saints for the first time as head coach in Tampa Bay, there will be no extra “risk it.” Asked by reporters on Friday whether he’ll coach more aggressively on Sunday night in New Orleans, Arians […]
Saints’ Will Clapp tests positive for COVID-19 January 16, 2021
Just two days before a playoff game, a Saints player has tested positive for COVID-19. Saints backup center Will Clapp has tested positive, Tom Pelissero of NFL Network reports. Clapp doesn’t get much playing time (he didn’t play any offensive snaps, and only four special teams snaps, in the Saints’ wild card win over the […]
Justin Jefferson: Being the fifth receiver drafted was disrespectful January 16, 2021
Justin Jefferson was the best rookie receiver in the NFL this season. The Vikings receiver totaled 1,400 receiving yards, an all-time rookie record and 465 more than the next closest rookie’s total. That isn’t what Jefferson was seeking, though. “I wanted to be the best receiver I can be,” Jefferson told Steve Wyche and Jim […]
After three comebacks in 2019 postseason, Chiefs would love to play with a lead January 16, 2021
Everyone remembers the Chiefs won the Super Bowl last season. Everyone seems to have forgotten what it took for them to get there and then win it. It was anything but easy. The Chiefs came back from double-digit deficits in all three postseason games in 2019. The good news: They have shown they can overcome […]
Former Broncos scout Hugh Davidson dies at 92 January 15, 2021
Former Broncos scout Hugh Davidson died recently, the team announced Friday. He was 92. Davidson’s 30-year career with the Broncos began in 1972 when late front office executive Carroll Hardy offered him a position with the team. During his tenure with the Broncos, Davidson scouted the northwest region of the country before becoming Denver’s head […]
Packers elevate Brian Price and KeiVarae Russell to active roster January 15, 2021
The Packers have made a few roster moves in advance of their divisional-round matchup with the Rams on Saturday. Green Bay elevated defensive lineman Brian Price and cornerback KeiVarae Russell from the practice squad to the active roster. Price has appeared in the Packers’ last two games, playing 12 total defensive snaps and five special […]
Falcons announce Arthur Smith as their head coach January 15, 2021
The Falcons have landed their new head coach. The team announced the hiring of Arthur Smith on Friday afternoon. Reports on Friday morning pegged the former Titans offensive coordinator as the frontrunner for the job and the deal was wrapped up over the next few hours. Smith spent the last two seasons in the coordinator […]
Josh Gordon suspended indefinitely January 15, 2021
Last month, Seahawks wide receiver Josh Gordon was conditionally reinstated, and the team expected him back on the field before the season was over. That didn’t happen, and now it may never happen. Gordon’s conditional reinstatement has been rescinded and he is now suspended indefinitely again, Field Yates of ESPN reports. There has been no […]
Mario Edwards suspended two games January 15, 2021
Mario Edwards, a defensive end who played for the Bears in 2020 and becomes a free agent in March, will start the 2021 season serving a suspension. Edwards has been suspended for the first two games of the 2021 season for violating the NFL’s PED policy, Brad Biggs of the Chicago Tribune reports. The suspension […]
Bills promote Antonio Williams, Dane Jackson January 15, 2021
The Bills have added a pair of players to their active roster for Saturday’s playoff matchup with the Ravens. The team has promoted running back Antonio Williams and cornerback Dane Jackson from the practice squad. Williams joins the roster rather than Devonta Freeman, who joined the practice squad in the wake of Zack Moss‘ season-ending […]
Ronald Jones officially questionable for Sunday January 15, 2021
Buccaneers head coach Bruce Arians said earlier on Friday that Ronald Jones will be a game-time decision. Officially, the running back is listed as questionable. Jones (quad/finger) did not practice on Wednesday, but was a limited participant on Thursday and Friday. He was active for last Saturday’s win over Washington, but did not play a […]
Deshaun Watson: “I was on 2 then I took it to 10” January 15, 2021
As the Texans try to extinguish the conflagration that its relationship with quarterback Deshaun Watson has become, it doesn’t seem to be working. Watson offered this tweet on Friday afternoon: “I was on 2 then I took it to 10.” That’s an obvious reference to the manner in which ESPN’s Adam Schefter characterized Watson’s mindset […]
Taysom Hill, Latavius Murray questionable for Sunday January 15, 2021
The Saints got a couple of key offensive pieces back on the practice field Friday. Quarterback Taysom Hill and running back Latavius Murray were both limited participants in their only on-field work of the week. Hill hurt his knee last weekend and Murray injured his quad. Both players have been listed as limited for Sunday’s […]
All Browns coaches have returned from COVID-19 quarantine January 15, 2021
The Browns activated their last player off the reserve/COVID-19 list earlier on Friday. Now, they have all of their coaches back, too. Head coach Kevin Stefanski said tight ends coach Drew Petzing and defensive backs coach Jeff Howard had returned to the building. And per multiple reports, assistant offensive line coach Scott Peters was also […]
Patrick Mahomes takes notice of OBJ tweet predicting Browns win January 15, 2021
Last week, “the Browns is the Browns” helped catapult Cleveland to a playoff win over the Steelers. This week, Chiefs receiver Sammy Watkins provided a watered-down equivalent — but it’s still more than enough for the Browns to use as a rallying cry. The Browns aren’t blameless in the bulletin-board material game. Receiver Odell Beckham […]
Jason Wright: Washington’s new nickname won’t be some “random . . . bird” January 15, 2021
How much longer will the Washington Football Team play as the Washington Football Team? The team has thousands of submissions from fans, with Washington Red Tails and Washington Red Wolves among those to consider. It’s possible the Washington Football Team could become the permanent name, too. Team president Jason Wright said this week that the […]
Cal McNair: Scrutiny on Jack Easterby unjustified January 15, 2021
In addition to addressing quarterback Deshaun Watson‘s unhappiness with the organization on Friday, Texans owner Cal McNair also touched on a recent tweet from former Texans wideout Andre Johnson. Johnson tweeted that Watson should stand his ground in a dispute with the team and said the Texans are known for wasting people’s careers. He also […]
Chris Jones: You can’t get bored, that’s how you get your ass kicked January 15, 2021
The Chiefs went 14-2 in the regular season — 14-1 in the first 16 weeks to lock up the AFC’s No. 1 overall seed. At points, there was some speculation about the Chiefs potentially getting bored during games, causing a bit of a lull. It’s hard to really say that had much of an effect […]

Saturday Neighborhood Party

Sunday Warm-up & Links

AFC North Saturday Brews

Is Your QB Clutch, or a Choker?

The Josh Allen Report: Week 4

Ranking the AFCE Offenses

Slick’s 2019 Week 15 Overreactions

The Josh Allen Report

Tank it, to the Limit

Not Much to be Tankful For

Popular

Latest

Comments

Recent Comments

PFF Feed

ESPN News

PFT News