Older AFCE

NFL-AFCE Game Day-Week 12

NFL-AFCE Game Day-Week 12
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Today’s Games

 

From: http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000881557/article/nfl-week-12-game-picks-rams-edge-saints-falcons-roll-on

Panthers 21 – Jets 17

Sunday, Nov. 26 @ 1 PM ET
The Panthers are coming off a bye, which is scary. This matchup against the Jets is the precise kind of game in which Carolina could come out flat. If Cam Newton doesn’t have “it,” they’ll lose, and right quick. New York has taken care of a few teams this season that were favorites while giving a few others ( the Patriots and Falcons) a shudder. The Jets need to provide Josh McCown with some semblance of a running game to alleviate pressure from the Panthers, even if the ground game isn’t always churning out yards. Stick with it. Here’s a fun note: Newton’s average — average — passer rating fluctuation from game to game is 33.3. Wild inconsistency. #passerratingfluctuation #fluxcapacitor

 

Patriots 42 – Dolphins 13

Sunday, Nov. 26 @ 1 PM ET
This AFC East “battle” could turn into garbage quite fast. (Not gonna say hot garbage, as I’ve seen enough Dumpster fire tweets to steer me away from the genre for awhile.) While it’s easy to consider the mismatch to be Brady versus the Miami secondary, Matt Patricia’s defense has been balling since early October. And the Dolphins‘ offense has been sucking since early September. The difference can be seen in a stat I developed with the help of @RealJackAndrade: N3P, or net positive play percentage. Tom Brady generates net positive plays (positive plays minus harmful plays) a staggering 39.9 percent of the time, which leads the league. Jay Cutler is way in the back at 28.2. He’s currently ahead of Mitchell Trubisky, Joe Flacco, Mike Glennon, DeShone Kizer and Tom Savage.

 

Chiefs 30 – Bills 17

Sunday, Nov. 26 @ 1 PM ET
I know the Chiefs have struggled, losing four of their last five games, but they’re due for a fun outing. Bills coach Sean McDermott could make it an even better day for Kansas City by, I don’t know, signing Jeff Tuel and sending him out there. Maybe make a trade for Austin Davis. Perhaps, in sitting Tyrod Taylor and starting rookie Nathan Peterman against the Chargers last week, McDermott was trying to send a message to his team that no player was above being benched after the debacle(s) against the Jets and Saints. Well, Peterman threw five first-half picks and Taylor isn’t riding the pine anymore. It will be interesting to see how Taylor responds at a tough place to play like Arrowhead. How will Chiefs back Kareem Hunt play after yet another so-so game? After posting at least 100 yards from scrimmage in his first seven games, the rookie workhorse has failed to hit that mark in any of the last three contests.

 

 

More opinions

 

From: http://www.sportingnews.com/nfl/list/week-12-nfl-picks-against-spread-vegas-odds-betting-lines/1huujmlpic1k91r4e6fq2foctu/slide/7
 
 

Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs (-10)

PICK: Chiefs win 24-17 but fail to cover the spread.
 
 

Carolina Panthers (-4 1/2) at New York Jets

After a bad road loss against the Bears several weeks ago, the Panthers won’t take anything for granted here. Away from prime time and Charlotte, Cam Newton will need to be more of a grinder than Superman, as Todd Bowles’ defense will do its best to contain his running and downfield passing. Former Panthers backup Josh McCown will make it interesting with a few big pass plays in the second half, but the Jets will fall a little short at home.

PICK: Panthers win 24-20 but fail to cover the spread.
 
 

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (-17)

You know the Patriots are getting close to can’t-miss Super Bowl favorites when the spreads start ballooning past two touchdowns. Miami is an absolute mess, far removed from the second AFC East playoff team under Adam Gase a season ago. The Dolphins’ defense has numerous holes for Tom Brady to exploit, while New England’s suddenly sound defense will stop whoever is the quarterback the other side.

PICK: Patriots win 40-14 and cover the spread.

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